| John Rothrock
Future historians might well cite the years 1993 and 1994
as the period
during which the U.S. military and associated
national defense
organizations identified Information Warfare as a conceptual vehicle
for transitioning from the precepts of the Cold War into the new
global realities of the Information Age. The concept is gaining momentum
throughout the national security community at a breakneck
pace.
Information Warfares already strong institutional influence is readily
evident in the spate of military and other national security organizations
which have taken it on as a key element of their mission responsibilities
or, as in a growing number of cases, which have been explicitly created
to advance and pursue the concept. Simultaneously, millions of dollars are
being programmed to provide new data bases, network architectures,
advanced software, and other sophisticated capabilities all under the rubric
of Information Warfare.
Also by now, most major military organizations have specially selected
some of their best minds to help them define and address the
new intellectual, organizational, programmatic, and technological
challenges that the concept presents. Similarly, defense industry has
quickly and heavily come on board, seeing
the concept to present a
legitimate need and therefore also a business opportunity for bringing
new, innovative mixes of its expertise to bear on postCold War
problems. Throughout the national security community, belief in
and enthusiasm for the concept seem to grow by the day as a key to
coping with the ever accelerating changes that have continued to beset
it since the fall of the Berlin Wall.
The following extended quote from the Secretary of Defenses 1994
report to the President and the Congress summarizes the compelling
logic which undergirds this enthusiasm while also testifying to the
broad acceptance which the concept seems to enjoy at the highest
policy levels:
Information Warfare is a means to not only better integrate C4I (Command, Control,
Communications, Computers, and Intelligence), but also to address the comparative
effectiveness
of a potential adversarys C4I. It consists of the actions taken to preserve the
integrity of ones
own information systems from exploitation, corruption, or destruction while at the
same time
exploiting, corrupting, or destroying an adversarys information system and, in
the process,
achieving information advantage in the application of force. Thus, Information Warfare
is an
aggregation of and better integration of C4, C4 countermeasures, information systems
security and
security countermeasures, and intelligence.
Information Warfare provides a method of better organizing and coordinating efforts to
ensure an
optimized information system responsive to the very demanding information requirements
inherent
in a smaller force structure, a rapid response capability, and advancing military
technologies such as
deep strike and precision guided weapons and enhanced mobility of forces. Information
Warfare is an integrating strategy that makes better use of resources to provide for a
better
informed forcea force that can act more decisively increasing the likelihood of
success while
minimizing casualties and collateral effects.1
Certainly, if the first milestone for
achieving a U.S. Information
Warfare capacity suitable for the early decades of the coming century
must be development of policy and resource support for the concept
throughout the breadth and depth of the national security establishment,
that objective now seems to be fairly well secured. The
concepts impressive thrust within the national security community
has accelerated to the point where most briefings and discussions of
the concept now acknowledge Information Warfare to constitute a
new medium of conflict even beyond the military dimension to include
new modes of global economic, political, and even cultural
competition.
ISSUES OF THRUST VERSUS VECTOR AND
MEANS VERSUS OBJECTIVES
But, what is Information Warfare, beyond the nondiscriminating
generalities of the DoD Annual Report and Claims that it is a new
form of global competition for the Information age? The Information
Warfare concepts policy and institutional thrust seems to be fairly
well established. Now the challenge is to address the intellectually
even more difficult issues of its vector.
Thus far, the specifics of the concepts achieved thrust have focused
primarily upon organization, process, and resource issuesi.e., essentially
the means of Information Warfare. But, beyond the
generalities of the DoD Annual Report and claims of the concepts
relevance as a new ubiquitous form of Information Age competition
and now well established military objectives of countering enemy
command and control while protecting your own, the objectives of
Information Warfare remain relatively undefined. And, with the
concepts objectives undefined, its potential implications also suffer
from underdefinition and, therefore, lack of examination.
Much of this tendency to shy away from difficult definitions of conceptual
objectives has to do with the traditional American intellectual
style which is one of pronounced pragmatism. The American
institutions generallyand the American military particularlyare
decidedly more comfortable with process than with theory, with action
more than reflection, with efficiencies more than effectiveness
(there is often a difference), with particular performance than with
general coherence, and with the particular more than with the holistic.
This inclines the U.S. military, along with many other American institutions,
to reduce general propositions such as Information Warfare
as quickly as possible to specific "means" issuesi.e., essentially
those of resources, organization, and processwith relatively less attention
paid to the more general concerns associated with objectives
and the more integrated, more coherent address that such concerns
demand. Traditional American resource management tools
including the DoD Planning, Programming, and Budgeting System
reflect and reinforce these tendencies.
While this especially American style proves its practical mettle over
and over in dealing effectively with specific problems, it has definite
weaknesses in its capacity to treat several problems at once in context
with each other. Unfortunately, it is exactly this sort of integrated,
contextual address that an idea as complex and far-reaching
as Information Warfare demands. Today, it is far from certain that
the structure of institutional relationships and processes through
which the U.S. Government manages the countrys global security
affairsthe PPBS, service department and joint service doctrinal and
organizational relationships, the functional junctures of military and
civil infrastructures, to name just a fewcan cope with Information
Warfare in all of the dimensions and manifestations that the concepts
logic demands.
SOME CHALLENGING QUESTIONS
Today, when one reads about Information Warfare and hears about
the concept in presentations, it remains very difficult to determine if
there is anything that Information Warfare is not. A skeptical mind is
soon prompted to ask, "If Information Warfare is everything, can it be
anything?"
Several other questions might follow. For example: Is, as some of its
harsher critics suspect, the concept primarily of a bureaucratic and
resources thrust toward specific means with little intellectual vector
toward specific objectives? Is it truly a trend or merely "trend surfing"?
Might not the concept be fundamentally flawed intellectually
in constituting, as it does, an attempt to explicitly address phenomena
(those of information) which are implicit to all human endeavor,
including warfighting? Is there a risk that Information Warfare could
become a convenient lip-service repository for all of the difficult issues
of postCold War relevance for a national security structure and
military whose general forms and culture remain rooted in Cold War
precepts? ("Sure, were relevant in the new era, we subscribe to Information
Warfare.")
And, more specifically: If Information Warfare holds that all or most
information is valuable and targetable but that it also must be accessible
and readily "fungible," what are the implications for traditional
concepts of information security and classification? Can classified,
heavily compartmented approachesrunning as they do essentially
against the grain of the Information Ages defining characteristic,
that of information proliferationbe effective in pursuing a military
concept supposedly suited specifically to the character of that age?
Where do the militarys purview and responsibilities concerning Information
Warfare and information security begin? Where do they
end? Are the American society and its military, as the most information-
dependent society and military in the world, really wise in advocating
Information Warfare as our preferred new style of conflict? If,
as is increasingly espoused, Information Warfare is more than just a
military proposition, must the society as a whole be capable of
pursuingand defending againstit if the military is to be able to do
its part effectively? If the society has problems in meeting IWs challenges
(say, for example, in mustering the national will that the concepts
defensive imperatives presume), does the military have an appropriate
role in helping the society deal with such non-military
requirements and implications? If so, what is that role?
These are hard but fair questions which the quickly forming Information
Warfare community should be prepared to answer. At a
minimum, their serious consideration should provide the concept
with an intellectual vector appropriate to its thrustof course, that is
if Information Warfare is more than the mere fashion that some
skeptics suspect it to be and, also, if our national security structure is
capable of recasting itself adequately to effectively implement such a
comprehensive idea. If the concept is faultable on either of the latter
points, the questions would of course ferret that out as well.
A SUGGESTED PRISM THROUGH WHICH TO
CONSIDER
INFORMATION WARFARE
But, how are such questions most effectively addressed? Is there
perhaps a particularly suitable intellectual prism through which to
consider Information Warfare with the necessary rigor appropriate to
the importance that the concepts advocates claim for it? How best
to explicitly examine a spectrum of issues as implicit to so many
other considerations as those comprising Information Warfare?
THE "INFORMATION WARFARE
ARROW"
The head of the "Information Warfare Arrow" is comprised of intellectual
effectiveness of a highly complex sort. Probably more so than
any other form of global security competition, Information Warfare
will require exceptional intellectual mastery of the important but
subtle hierarchical relationships between policy, strategy, operations
("campaigns"), and tactics. It will equally demand a sophisticated
appreciation of the relationships of all of these perspectives to technology.
Without such mastery of these relationships, Information Warfare carries
with it great risks.
The best technology, even when employed with the greatest of tactical
effectiveness, can be counterproductive if the technology and its
employment are not orchestrated against a set of well conceived,
hierarchically consistent operational, strategic, and policy objectives.
While this observation is true regarding any military or quasi-military
undertaking, it is especially important regarding Information Warfare
which is first and foremost an intellectual rather than a technological
or physical undertaking. Information Warfare carries with it
especially heavy risks of "winning battles but losing wars." The best
of technology and tactics cannot protect against these risks in the
face of poor policy, strategy, and operational concepts and the
unprecedented degree of conceptual, doctrinal, structural, procedural,
and technology integrationi.e., far beyond "jointness"that
effective
Information Warfare is certain to demand.
The arcane (and now largely irrelevant) policy and strategic machinations
of the Cold War excepted, PostWorld War II U.S. military
thinking has been generally at its best at the levels of tactics (i.e., the
specifics of "employment") and technology. True, the 1970s saw a
renewed appreciation of the "operational art" perspective (also
known as the "campaign level") of military employment and the Gulf
War demonstrated that since then we have made great strides in organizing
ourselves at that level. However, most observers agree that
the operational level still does not yet constitute our militarys long
suit. Yet, excellence at the operational level is vital to success in
Information Warfare for it is the conceptual bridge between higher-level
objectives and the means for achieving them.
Beyond these concerns, our system of government necessarily places
considerable ethical and political burdens upon those charged with
developing policy, strategic, and higher-level operational objectives
burdens that are rooted in a logic borne of tradition and culture that
goes far beyond the exigencies of any particular set of global security
considerations. The net result is a national security and military
structure that is much more comfortable in addressing the technological
and resource means of conflict than it is in considering the
higher policy and strategic objectives of conflict.
For this much greater proficiency regarding means as opposed to
objectives not to constitute a potentially fatal flaw in the United
States pursuit of Information Warfarecertainly if the concept is
carried to its ultimate logicwill require fundamental changes in
how we understand conflict and the appropriate responses of our
society to it. In fact, the changes that might be required could be so
great as to raise a legitimate issue of not only whether we can but
even of whether we should make them, the challenges of Information
Warfare notwithstanding. Does our society want to be the sort that is
adept at the degree and types of control of information that some of
the more enthusiastic advocates of Information Warfare seem to presume?
This brings us to the concept of national will. Advocates of Information
Warfare must discipline themselves to assure that the overall
conceptor any particular aspects of it, even those under cover of
heavy security classificationdo not conflict with or exceed the
imperatives of the national will and the crucial bond of trust between
people and their government. The loss of this trust would obviously
be the greatest Information Warfare disaster that can be imagined.
An Information Warfare concept that depends upon an unrealistic or
warped perception of the national will, while possibly still maintaining
its means thrust will certainly lack appropriate vector, possibly
even to the point of coming back to victimize those employing it. In
judging how and to what degree specifics of Information Warfare
employment are or are not commensurate with national will, it will
always be instructive to look at the factors of culture, politics, economics,
and infrastructure (all as perceived by the society). If a concept
runs against the reality or the societal perception of any of these
guiding factors, it must be regarded as highly risky. Again, reliance
upon heavy security classification to protect a concept from the extent
to which it might run against the societal grain can only exacerbate
the possibility and potential consequences of its failure.
INFORMATION WARFARE EMPLOYMENT AND
DOCTRINE
Even if fairly conservatively applied, the Information Warfare concept
will require highly integrated, holistic employment throughout
the policy > tactics/technology spectrum of perspectives which must
exceed anything our current military culture and structure has ever
demonstrated to date. (If, as is implied in the narrower articulations
of the concept, Information Warfare remains confined to the tactical
level and middle/lower rungs of the operational perspectivesuch
as during the Gulf Warone might ask what is to differentiate
"Information Warfare" from what are now more or less conventionally
held "Counter Command and Control" concepts. 2 ) Without
this
high degree of integration, the concept is certain to founder in its
practical employment for lack of coherence.
As in all military associated employment, the key to coherence in
Information Warfare will be effective doctrine. In addition to the
several perspectives portrayed by the "arrow," this doctrineand the
structures and procedures it implieswill have to acknowledge Information
Warfare to include three highly interdependent spheres of
competition with actual and/or potential adversaries of the United
States. These are (1) the capacity for offensive action against the enemys
decision-making structure and processes; (2) protection of our
own capabilities to make and effect decisions; and (3) the capacity to
create and use information for our own purposes more effectively
than adversaries can create and use information for their purposes.
Underlying all of these relationships, and adding to their maddeningly
subtle complexities is a curious but unavoidable irony that is
implicit to the Information Warfare concept: i.e., that the U.S. must
develop very sophisticated and complex means for attacking adversaries
typically far less developed information/decision structures
while still further having to protect our own highly developed infrastructure
from relatively simplebut potentially grievousthreats.
The Offensive Sphere
Of the three competitive spheres, the heavy preponderance of attention
currently given Information Warfare seems certainly to focus on
the concepts offensive potentials. Not only does this reflect the U.S.
militarys natural offensive affinity, it also probably reflects the fact
that offensive concepts are less fettered by limitations of established
U.S. information practice, structure, and process. An already observable
feature of this is the tendency for Information Warfare responsibilities
even seemingly operational onesto migrate into organizations
that are part ofor which are at least heavily involved
with the Intelligence Community (especially its SIGINT Components).
These are organizations that, at least in theory, are most
suited to assessing targets for Information Warfare applications.
How these Intelligence-focused organizations will handle the inherent
tension between the natural intelligence inclination to exploit
enemy information for its intelligence potential and the operators
natural inclination to destroy or disrupt enemy information sources
and flows is certain to become a major doctrinal issue. (A cynic
might see something here akin to the Intelligence fox being put in
charge of the Information Warfare henhouse.) Whoever is responsible,
the necessary doctrinal responsibility and authority to assure
that offensive applications accord with all levels of conflict perspecive
tactical up through the policy levelare sure to be demanding
ones and to require concepts of organization and process for which
there is little precedent.
The Protective Sphere
The protective (i.e., "defensive") aspects of the Information Warfare
concept are even more difficult to handle doctrinally, structurally,
and procedurally. This is because convenience and operational efficacy
in the handling of information usually imply vulnerabilities in
the information and decision-making processes which can be fairly
readily assessed and exploited/interfered with by an adversary.
Strong doctrinal guidance will be required to direct the IW concept
through the maze of "either-or" issues that this tension between
general security and immediate efficacy must inevitably raise.
Whether a community which is heavily imbued with an Intelligence
perspective can adequately define, let alone resolve such issues remains
an important question.
The Competitive-Use-of-Information
Sphere
As complex as these first two competitive spheres of the Information
Warfare concept are, they pale in difficulty in comparison to the
thirdthat of the relative effectiveness of our own information
handling and decision-making structures and processes. 3 This is
where subtle asymmetries between our own objectives, capabilities,
and information dependencies and those of adversaries, if not readily
recognized and taken into account, can wreak disaster.
It might be useful to characterize the situation as follows: We must
always be prepared to see ourselves as highly sophisticated "cyber-warriors"
who might eventually need to be able to attack and defend
against enemies much of our own kind. But we need more immediately
the capacity to attack and defend against the equivalent of
clever Information Age "neanderthals" who are less dependent upon
sophisticated information means than are we but who have adequate
sophistication to understand and means to exploit that fact.
Even without considering direct attacks against each others information/
decision capacities notwithstanding, the effective use of information
to make timely appropriate decisions is a highly complex
proposition. Again, it is a challenge primarily of intellect and only
secondarily is it one of technology.
Viewed in this sense, the Command and Control process must be
seen as one too profound to be left to those who are merely expert in
its technical meansi.e., "communicators," computer specialists,
experts in the technologies of information, and the like who in our
military culture are most closely identified with the means and processes
of Command and Control. To relegate the C2 information/
decision-making process to the technical perspectives of these
specialists would be uncomfortably analogous to having the tele-phone
company install a telephone for you then expecting them to
tell you what to say on it. The best of C2 technology and technology
architectures cannot substitute for the conceptual and intellectual
quality of the decisions they support.
To achieve the sophistication and doctrinal coherence and effectiveness
necessary to provide that quality, especially in response to the
unprecedented demands of Information Warfare, will the U.S. military
culture to accept at least two conceptual distinctions with which
it naturally has trouble.
First, the military must be able to better distinguish between
"efficiency" and "effectiveness" in order to be sure that, in
regard to a
specific situation or objective, it is not "doing the wrong thing well."
Especially in terms of Information Warfare effectiveness, the need to
make such distinctions requires great effort in developing new
essentially non-attritively based measures of meritby which to
gauge the meanings of effectiveness which the concept implies.
Second, Information Warfare requires sophisticated distinctions to
be made between hierarchical levels of the cognitive process by
which data and information contribute to effective decisions, a process
which Information Warfare wants to degrade for the enemy and
to preserve and enhance for ourselves. Chief among these distinctions
are those between "awareness" (the lowest level of cognition),
"knowledge," and "understanding." One can be "aware" of
something
but not know its specifics. Similarly, one can "know" something,
even very well, but not "understand" its full implications, especially
as they impact and are impacted by specific circumstances.
(For example, the West "knew" a lot about the Soviet Union, but, as it
turned out, our "knowledge" far exceeded what we actually
"understood" about it.)
The two principal objectives in Information Warfare must be (1) to
degrade adversaries capacity for understanding their own circumstances,
our circumstances, and the circumstances that affect all
sides while preserving and enhancing our capacity for such understanding
and (2) to degrade adversaries capacities to make effective
use of whatever correct understandings they might achieve and,
again, to preserve and enhance our own capacities in this regard.
(Note: As in earlier history, future conflicts could well be multilateral,
with alliances brief, partial, and calculated often only for the
most fleeting advantage; this is yet a further practical complication
which Information Warfare advocates must directly confront.)
Achieving and preserving the advantages that will accrue in winning
such a competition will be fundamental to future success in the future
global security competition that is likely to evolve. As such, Information
Warfare cannot be pursued as something "exotic" and separate from
the mainstream of the command, control, and employment of military forces.
Therefore, the ultimate Information Warfare question is this: Is the U.S.
national security structure capable of the intellectual and doctrinal
suppleness required to pursue an implicit set of concerns and issues using
highly calculated, specific means, to achieve explicit, but coherent
objectives?
Yet again, whether or not the limitations of our previous military experience
and the resulting U.S. national security/military culture and
intellectual style that it has produced will permit us to effectively
meet the doctrinal demands for conceptual and employment coherence
which Information Warfare poses must at this point remain an
open issue.
CONCLUSION
Obviously, the postCold War era, most notably the aspects of it that
comprise the "Information Age," requires a new approach to global
security. "Information Warfare" is gaining considerable momentum
as the conceptual vehicle with which the United States, especially the
military, hopes to meet this challenge. However, the concepts far-reaching
and complex implications dictate degrees of intellectual,
structural, and procedural coherence that would exceed by far anything
that the modern U.S. national security/military structures have
achieved in the past.
For this reason, an objective observer must remain skepticalif also
hopefulabout Information Warfares historical viability as a new
global security concept for the United States. It seems that the only
thing more difficult than readying ourselves for Information Warfare
would be to conceive of an alternative to it.
NOTES
1 Les Aspin, Secretary of Defense, Annual Report to the President and the Congress,
Washington, D.C., January 1994, pp. 227228.
2 This is not to imply that we have now finally adequately developed our Counter
Command and Control concepts and capabilities, even at the tactical and lower
operational levels. To appreciate the full complexity and potential/implications of
information conflict on those and also higher planes, see especially V.V. Druzhinin
and D.s. Kontorov, "Concept, Algorithm, and Decision," Moscow, Voinizdat,
1972.
(One of the USAF "Soviet Military Thought" translation series.) Counter C2
and
information Warfare concepts that are not rooted in appreciation of issues raised by
Druzhinin and Kontorov probably should be held intellectually suspect. (However, it
is not necessary to agree with the authors decidedly Soviet conclusions about
many
specific issues.) For a more recent, perhaps even deeper discussion of information
and its use/manipulation, see also Keith Devlin, Logic and Information, Cambridge
(UK), Cambridge University Press, 1991. For a less theoretical treatment applicable to
the tactical and operational levels, see as well the current authors
"Counter
Command and Control in Conceptual Perspective," Air University Review,
JanFeb
1980. This article, while dated in its focus on the Soviet adversary, explores several
conceptual issues which probably still warrant consideration.
3 It is in recognition of the complexities that this section addresses that the
National
Defense University has designated the curriculum it intends to address these issues as
a curriculum in "Information-based Warfare." Others are also coming more
frequently to use this term to capture the full complexity of the concept.
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